US dollar to Turkish Lira Signals and Price Predictions

Live USD/TRY price US Dollar to Turkish Lira
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32.23415
-0.1%
Close 05/31
Disclaimer
Daily change
32.2151
32.23415
Week change
32.2314
32.23415
Converter
Prev. Close 32.26705
Open 32.2648
Day's Range 32.1799-32.3853
52 wk Range 33.0275-21.0286
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Traders Union uses a custom-made forecasting model based on a combination of various data and models.

Methodology for the analysis of prices for currencies, cryptocurrencies, stocks, indices, and commodities

The timeframe of technical indicators used for the analysis depends on the forecasting period and can range from 5 minutes to one day (D1). Traders Union uses a custom-made forecasting model based on a combination of various data and models. Some forecasting data are generated and recalculated automatically based on statistical data. Price forecasts and predictions can also contain the opinions of market experts and analysts.

Price analysis may include the following considerations:

  • Readings of basic technical indicators, including moving averages, MACD, RSI, as well as other trend, channel tools and oscillators optionally. 
  • Wave analysis, VSA analysis (analysis of vertical and horizontal volumes). 
  • Complex indicator and chart systems: TD Sequential, Gann tools, Chart analysis is used for some forecasts. Key resistance and support levels were built for the analysis.  
  • Statistical tools that allow for assessment of the probability of occurrence of fundamental factors affecting the price, their degree, and nature of influence.
  • Methods of mathematical and statistical analysis: modeling, adaptive forecasting methods, correlation models, spectral analysis, and quantum analysis. Analysis of derivative multiples.
  • Risk assessment models: alpha, beta coefficients, Sharpe ratio, etc.
  • On-chain analysis and specific indicators: fear and greed index, NVT Ratio, MVRV Ratio, etc,
  • For cryptocurrencies, statistical data of analytical platforms was used: CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, etc. 
  • For stock price forecasts, data from Finviz, CompaniesMarketCap, TradingView and other analytical platforms can be used optionally.
  • For stock forecasts, surveys of investment fund managers, independent analysts, expert opinions of investors on leading platforms, and consensus forecasts of analysts are used.

US Dollar / Turkish Lira Forecast

USD/TRY is an exotic currency pair. It has a relatively high volatility, and is considered an instrument with increased risk. The peculiarity of this pair is the strong direct impact on its price from the Central bank and the state, which are conducting an unconventional monetary policy. For this reason, the Turkish lira is considered a currency that is difficult to predict.

Strong Buy
Recommendation for USD/TRY on the timeframe
Strong Buy
Recommendation for USD/TRY on the timeframe
Neutral
Recommendation for USD/TRY on the timeframe

In the past five years, the Turkish lira has been steadily dropping against the US dollar. TRY devalues at a rate of 50-150% per year. In December 2021, President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced a state-backed scheme to protect lira deposits, with a promise to compensate the loss caused by devaluation. In the past five years, this was the only fundamental factor that led to TRY strengthening by 15%. The rest of the time frame shows a flat or lira devaluation.


The chances for the reversal of the USD/TRY upward trend remain under condition of the return to the traditional economy management model.

USD/TRY Indicator Based Technical Analysis

USD/TRY forecast by TU is prepared automatically on the basis of technical analysis of moving averages and indicators for each timeframe (interval) separately. Select the timeframe you need to find out USD/TRY price prediction for today.

Timeframe:
1m 1m
5 min 5 min
15m 15m
30m 30m
1h 1h
4h 4h
1d 1d
1w 1w
Forecast:
Neutral
Analysis indicators
Moving average
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators
Buy (3)
Sell (4)
RSI
Buy
CCI
Sell
Awesome Oscillator
Strong Buy
Momentum
Neutral
ADX
Sell
MACD
Strong Sell
Williams %R
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator
Overbought
Bull Bear Power
Neutral
Stochastic RSI
Overbought
HMA
Strong Buy
Ichimoku
Neutral
PPO
Strong Sell
View indicators Hide indicators

To find a better entry point, also find out what TradingView technical analysis tool signals for the US Dollar to Turkish Lira currency exchange rate. "Sell" or "Strong Sell" means that most of the signals are bearish. "Buy" or "Strong Buy" means that most of the signals are bullish. For short-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 15 minutes to 2 hours. For long-term signals, it is recommended to use settings from 4 hours to 1 week.

NOTE!

Signals may differ on different timeframes. If you want to hold the USD/TRY for longer than 1 week/1 month, it is best to use the signals on daily and weekly timeframes. Timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 hour are best suitable for short-term transactions.

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What is the USD TRY forecast?

After the Turkish lira reached its all-time low, analyst forecasts have remained cautious. There are still factors indicating the potential for further depreciation of the lira (an increase in the USD/TRY exchange rate), but at a slower pace. On the other hand, there is a possibility that in his new presidential term, Recep Tayyip Erdogan may revert to a more conventional monetary policy, which could partially support the Turkish lira.

What is the prediction for USD to TRY?

Turkey has an export-oriented economy. The monetary policy aims to contain inflation through increasing proceeds from exports, while the central bank continues to gradually lower the interest rate. The low exchange rate of lira is beneficial to exporters, but with an average annual economic growth of around 8%, inflation exceeds 35%. Furthermore, the country experiences an excess of imports over exports, which also contributes to the depreciation of the currency. Experts are cautious in their forecasts and are more inclined to believe that the lira will continue to depreciate in the short term.

Is the Turkish lira expected to rise?

The value of the Turkish lira may rise, if the country reverts to the traditional monetary policy that involves increasing the interest rate to curb inflation while reducing government interference and budget deficit.

When should I buy Turkish Lira?

It will make sense buying the lira when the question of the budget deficit is resolved and the inflation is curbed.